Are Pension Investments Too Complicated?

According to Wall Street Journal reporter Mark Cobley ("Crunch hits complex pension investments," September 4, 2008), Liability-Driven Investing ("LDI") strategies may be creating some unexpected pain for pension funds. Touted as a way to mitigate risk, LDI depends on relatively stable market conditions. Recent volatility has upset the apple cart.

In some cases, a defined benefit plan enters into an interest rate swap as what is referred to as a Fixed Rate Receiver, Floating Rate Payer. Structured properly, this effectively creates a hedge against adverse interest rate moves. When interest rates fall, a defined benefit plan liability goes up but is meant to be offset by a floating rate swap obligation that goes down. (This is a gross simplication, ignoring yield curve differentials and shape, along with multiple factors that influence the size and timing of pension payouts. Additionally, a swap is usually structured to have the underlying pension liability "cash flow matched" so that the fixed rate swap receipts cover the pension IOUs.)

Unfortunately for some, worsening credit problems have led to higher LIBOR (London Interbank Offer Rate) rates, a standard floating rate swap benchmark and one gauge of the rate at which banks borrow and lend money to each other. As LIBOR goes up, floating rate swap outlays rise, negating part or all of the inherent benefits of having entered into the interest rate swap in the first place.

Another variation of LDI (and there are many) requires a pension fund to add "portable alpha," usually in the form of a hedge fund or "equitized" or "enhanced" money management fund. Essentially this is done to lower the opportunity loss when an asset allocation mix veers towards fixed income, away from equity. (This assume a positive equity risk premium whereby equities return more on average than "comparable" risk fixed income securities.) Quoting a Schroders LDI expert, Mr. Andrew Connell, increased LIBOR rates cause "the value of the assets drop and it becomes very difficult to meet benchmarks in the short term."

One solution discussed in the article is for pension plans to invest in offerings that guarantee a rate, tied to LIBOR plus a basis point spread. While it sounds good on the surface, it means that "the pension scheme invests in a portfolio of assets currently held on the bank's balance sheet, such as leveraged loans or asset-backed paper." Since we all know that nothing is free, the question becomes - What risks does a pension investor assume if this revised strategy is adopted?

On top of everything else, investment fiduciaries must properly benchmark their chosen LDI strategy, something that is easier said than done. For example, does one track the difference between required cash flows (owed to plan participants) and LDI "net" cash flows? Life remains a challenge for those now contemplating (or already taking the plunge) whether "to LDI or not to LDI."

U.S. Celebrates Labor Day

According to the U.S. Department of Labor website, Labor Day occurs on the first day of every September and is "dedicated to the social and economic achievements of American workers." Over 100 years old, the holiday was first celebrated on September 5, 1882 in New York City, due to efforts of several labor unions.

Editor's Notes: Here are a few information sources about labor in the U.S. and elsewhere.

Fundfire Q&A About Consultant's In-House Products

A few days ago, I was asked to provide an answer to a FundFire reader's question regarding possible conflicts of interest. I've included the question and published answer below. (See "Your Q&A: How to Vet Consultant's In-House Products?" by Dr. Susan Mangiero and Mr. Wayne Miller, Fundfire.com, August 25, 2008.)

"Question: What can an institutional investor do to protect against conflicts of interest if a consultant recommends an in-house investment product? Third-Party Marketer, Institutional, East Coast

Answer: When reviewing an investment in a consultant’s in-house product, the plan sponsor decision-makers should first and foremost review their own fiduciary duties to participants (ideally with plan counsel) and the implications that such a selection would have on those obligations. Without a full understanding of such obligations, it is impossible to know when, how and why a fiduciary breach might occur. In the event that the consulting firm contracts as a fiduciary to the pension plan, the plan sponsor should likewise seek counsel regarding any implications for asset allocation and money manager recommendations made by the consultant.

Notwithstanding the important fiduciary considerations, it is vital to understand the process by which the consultant arrives at recommending one of its own offerings. Countless questions arise. Will the consultant earn higher fees by recommending an in-house fund? Are those higher fees justified? Is the in-house offering 'suitable' on a risk-adjusted basis? Are there 'better' available investment choices offered by third parties?

It’s important to clarify whether the consultant will be able to objectively fire an in-house or outsourced manager if performance is ever deemed sub-par. An institution must also determine whether the consultant is displaying full transparency about the selection, monitoring and termination process within the offering. Always remember that a plan sponsor must be able to discern the line of demarcation between authentic fiduciary representation by the consultant and the consultant’s own self-interest. Delegation does not eliminate the need for continued oversight on the part of the plan sponsor fiduciaries."

Editor's Note: For further reading, check out the following resources.

Fannie Mae Gets a New Chief Risk Officer

According to Wall Street Journal reporters, James R. Hagerty and Aparajita Saha-Burna, musical chairs are moving at the nation's giant mortgage house. Besides a new chief business officer and CFO, the former Senior Vice President for Credit Risk Oversight takes the lead on all things risk. Exiting the  company is the former Chief Risk Officer ("CRO"). (See "Fannie Mae Names New Officers in Shake-Up, August 28, 2008)

Only two years, according to a May 18, 2006 press release issued by the Federal National Mortgage Association ("Fannie Mae") (ticker symbol FNM), the Chief Risk Officer now being replaced came onboard to lead the "credit market, counterparty and operational risk oversight for all business units within Fannie Mae." Before joining, he headed the market risk management efforts for "the chief investment office and retail financial services" at a large bank. In that  same May 18 announcement, the then Chief Business Officer (now departing) commented on the new "One Fannie Mae" approach, "with a rigorous, unified and analytical discipline."

If you are not asking already, let me do it for you. What happened since 2006? Better yet, what happened?

The Fannie Mae website boasts a "Risk Policy and Capital Committee Charter" (last amended on November 20, 2007) that exists for the purpose of assisting the Board in "overseeing Fannie Mae's capital management and risk management, including overseeing the management of credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk, and operational risk." Members are charged with duties that include risk management oversight and recommendations relating to enterprise risk.

I repeat. What happened? Inquiring minds want to know - shareholders, taxpayers and oh yes, retirement plan participants.

As confirmed by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation ("PBGC"), the Fannie Mae defined benefit plan is an insured plan. If financial woes continue (as suggested by some), could taxpayers be asked to fund a bailout of shareholders as well as a bailout of retirees (in the event that PBGC itself needs help)? (On December 8, 2007, this blog cited TheWashBiz Blog as saying that the Fannie Mae plan would be closed to new employees.)

In a related Wall Street Journal article (entitled "Pension Funds Watch Fannie, Freddie," August 28, 2008), reporter Daisy Maxey lists some public plan notables who hold more than a few shares. Here's another thought. Is a triple taxpayer play a possibility, if things get "too bad?"

  • Taxpayers bail out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac shareholders
  • PBGC takes over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac defined benefit pension plans
  • Taxpayers bail out the PBGC (if the insurance premiums prove insufficient to pay retirees of "assumed" plans)
  • State taxpayers are asked to help public plans that invested in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

As an aside, it would be quite interesting to know what kinds of risk management related questions were asked by pension plan investors of these government-sponsored entities ("GSE"). For those plans that are now exposed as the result of indexing, the situation is somewhat difficult. How can a plan exit a particular position if it has specifically allocated part of its portfolio to an identified index (part of a pure passive strategy) and that index includes a "troubled" security?  

Editor's Note: The PBGC recently revised its investment policy to allow for some monies to be allocated to alternatives such as private equity. (This will be covered in an upcoming blog post.)

New Jersey Gets Okay to Invest $9 Billion in Alternatives

Star-Ledger reporter, Dunstan McNichol, reports of a now-settled legal tussle between municipal worker unions and the State of New Jersey ("Court OK's Jersey plan to invest pension money in hedge funds," August 23, 2008). At the heart of the matter is The Garden State's desire to allocate 10+ percent of its $78 billion retirement system assets to hedge funds and other non-traditional investments as a way to avoid getting slammed when stock markets sour. (Unions have described alternatives as risky.) At the same time, "Court lets NJ invest pension money in hedge funds" (The Associated Press, August 23, 2008), reports a recent actuarial analysis that puts the shortfall as bigger than originally believed, due to a surge in police and firefighters who "are retiring with disabilities."

According to statistics published by the State of New Jersey, Department of the Treasury, Division of Investment, the alternatives portfolio (commodities, real estate, private equity and hedge funds is 11.7 percent (versus a target allocation of 10.3 percent) as of June 30, 2008. In its press release, dated July 15, 2008, the recent loss of 3.1 percent (at mid-year 2008) still leaves a five-year average return of 9.1 percent, higher than "the assumed actuarial investment return of 8.25 percent." Division Director William Clark credits alternatives for avoiding a loss of approximately $3 billion, had the pension's asset mix "not been diversified away from its historic concentration purely on equities and bonds."

New Jersey is not alone in seeking alternatives as a diversifier. Yet there remains a critical question as to when and why equities are deemed "riskier" than alternatives. Of course, one must be particularly careful with his or her answer. Market capitalization, strategy, relevant time period, restrictions on transferability and industry and economic fundamentals are a few of the many determinants of risk (financial and otherwise) that distinguish traditional equity holdings from alternatives.

Editor's Note: To learn more about official symbols, including the State Seal, visit the State of New Jersey website.

CalPERS Invests in Infrastructure

According to blogger extraordinaire and Sacramento Bee reporter Jon Ortiz , the California giant will now invest in "PPP" (public private partnership) deals but with strings attached. According to their policy entitled "Infrastructure Program," posted on "The State Worker" and elsewhere, projects to build bridges, roads and other types of infrastructure should avoid displacement of California municipal workers "provided that CalPERS' fiduciary responsibilities are met." Subsequent text adds that "the investment vehicle shall make every good faith effort to ensure that such transactions have no more than a de minimus adverse impact on existing jobs."

Far be it from me to impugn any group of workers, municipal or private. However, one does wonder if CalPERS and infrastructure fund managers will soon find themselves at loggerheads. If I read the policy correctly, it seems to put an awful lot of responsibility on external portfolio managers to address wage differentials (if any exist) for the express purpose of assessing the cost-effectiveness of labor resources. Employment economics is a speciality in its own right. Should infrastructure moneymen (and women) hire outside experts to undertake a comprehensive study to determine whether private versus public workers are best suited for a particular project? How might such fees, paid to labor economists by money managers but passed along to institutional investors such as CalPERS, erode reported returns? Could returns be eroded by so much that the benefits of investing in infrastructure in the first place are more than offset by CalPERS' mandate to avoid loss of state jobs?

According to Brian K. Miller ("CalPERS Changing PPP Language," GlobeSt.com, August 15, 2008), the California Public Employees Retirement System ("CalPERS") altered its policy so as not to be sued by the Professional Engineers in California Government ("PECG"). The American Council of Engineering Companies of California (the private equivalent of the PECG) countered that threat of litigation does no one any good.

Does this type of allegedly veiled political "intervention" sound familiar?

Just a few days ago, Massachusetts State Treasurer Tim Cahill said "no thanks" to Governor Deval Patrick, when asked to allocate pension assets to bonds issued by the state's student loan organization. In "Cahill rejects student-loan proposal" by Casey Ross (The Boston Globe, August 8, 2008), fiduciary concerns are front and center. In "Massachusetts Pension Plan Urged to Invest in School Loans" (August 8, 2008 blog post), I wrote as follows:

Here's the rub. The state pension trustees have a fiduciary duty to make sure that the plan is in good financial shape. Will statutory investing put those fiduciaries at risk for allegations of breach in the event that MEFA bonds sour or perhaps offer a sub-optimal return?

I think the same principle applies to the CalPERS decision, sending mixed signals about competing constituencies - state engineers versus plan participants. Complicating things, could state workers win now by keeping their jobs (for certain infrastructure projects) but lose later on if infrastructure investments fare poorly due to labor-related cost issues and so on?

What a dilemma!

Public Pensions and Hedge Funds

In "States Double Down on Hedge Funds as Returns Slide," Bloomberg reporters Adam Cataldo and Michael McDonald (August 14, 2008) suggest that public pensions may get a double whammy if alternative investments go south. New York, New Jersey, South Carolina and Massachusetts are just a few of the large public plans now allocating monies to non-traditional investments such as hedge funds, real estate and private equity. This is not necessarily good or bad though one wonders about the timing. Will current market volatility help or hinder plans in search of higher returns? This blogger is quoted as follows:

"It doesn't come risk-free," said Susan Mangiero, president of Pension Governance, LLC, a research firm based in Trumbull, Connecticut. "You could end up having a worse performance and the chain of events is lower funding status and increased taxes."

Managing director Eileen Neill, with Wilshire Associates, states the need to "diversify some of the equity risk" and to attempt strategies that will help match the growth in liabilities. As I told the Bloomberg reporters (though not included in this article), how one measures diversification potential is key to understand. Correlation analysis only goes so far when markets are turbulent and bad news tends to adversely impact otherwise uncorrelated markets. Additionally, correlation assumes a linear relationship when comparing returns for a particular investment pair (hedge fund versus a large cap equity index for example). When the relationship is non-linear, correlation is less useful as a gauge of potential risk reduction.

Just as important, past is not prologue. Assessing historical returns can be misleading at best. Stan Rupnik, Chief Investment Officer at the Teachers' Retirement System of the State of Illinois, is quoted as saying that "Chasing performance, especially in a public fund, can be a dangerous thing." It is important for trustees to make sure that "what if" analysis is being done on a regular basis, taking into account relevant risk drivers. Consider private equity and venture capital. An accelerating credit crisis has made it extremely difficult for companies to go public or for potential suitors to finance their bid. As a result, returns suffer. No surprise that pension investors (and their plan participants) take a hit too.

Editor's Note:

Pensions for Sale?



According to "Now Wall Street Wants Your Pension, Too" by Matthew Goldstein (Business Week, August 5, 2008), troubled banks have no business fiddling around with pension caretaking.  Citing a $2.3 trillion "pension honey pot" that could grow to $7+ trillion in a few years, Goldstein says pension buyouts would be a great prize for investment banks, hedge funds, private equity funds and insurers. (Editor's Note: I've seen estimates of much larger numbers but the message is the same. There is thought to be "gold in them thar hills.)

What motivates advocates of the pension transfer movement? Let me count the ways. More than a few corporations may seize the opportunity to clean up their balance sheets and income statements as new accounting rules kick in, making "problems" more visible to shareholders. Some posit that taxpayers benefit if certain plans are transferred to stronger financial buyers, giving these plan sponsors a fighting chance to steer clear of bankruptcy court. As a result, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation ("PBGC"), could arguably stablilize or even reduce its $14+ billion deficit. (Though the PBGC is technically funded by insurance premiums paid by plan sponsors, experts suggest that mounting IOUs could potentially result in a bailout by Uncle Sam.)

This trend to take over pension liabilities by third parties, popular in the UK, seems to have hit a snag in the U.S. According to an August 6, 2008 press release ("Treasury, IRS Issue Ruling Preventing Certain Pension Transfers"), newly issued Revenue Ruling 2008-45 states that "a transfer of a tax-qualified pension plan from an employer to an unrelated taxpayer when the transfer is not connected with a transfer of significant business assets, operations, or employees, is not permissible under current law. This is clearly a big disappointment to Wall Street as banks have been busy at work, assembling teams to value pension liabilities and trade them, in anticipation of developing a lucrative transfer business.

Accompanying this somewhat rare tax promulgation, readers are told of legislative preferences on the part of the current Administration (IRS, U.S. Department of Labor, U.S. Department of Commerce and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation) that might eventually open the door to pension liability sales. Relevant text is excerpted below:

"Under the legislative framework, a pension plan (or portion of a plan) under which benefits are no longer accruing (i.e. a frozen plan) could be transferred to an entity unrelated to the employer (or former employer) of the participants in the plan, provided that certain conditions are met. The conditions would reflect the following fundamental requirements:

  • Plan participants, their representatives, and ERISA regulators would be required to receive advance notice of a plan transfer, and the parties to the transaction would be required to provide regulators information necessary to review and approve the proposed transaction.
  • Only financially strong entities in well-regulated sectors would be permitted to acquire a pension plan in a plan transfer transaction.
  • The parties to the transaction would be required to demonstrate that participants' benefits and the pension insurance system would be exposed to less risk as a result of the transfer, and that the transfer would be in the best interests of the participants and beneficiaries.
  • Limitations on transfers would be imposed to limit undue concentration of risk.
  • Transferees and members of their controlled groups would assume full responsibility for the liabilities of transferred plan and would comply with post-transaction reporting and fiduciary requirements.
  • Subsequent transfer transactions would be subject to the rules applicable to original transfer transactions."

Don't count the financial institutions out yet. No doubt the next Congress is likely to receive a lot of inquiries from the bank lobby to initiate legislation in favor of pension buyouts. On the positive side, well-capitalized and properly managed banks and other types of money powerhouses could draw on sophisticated risk analytics to strengthen plans. In contrast, poor risk management practices could worsen things. (See "Bank Risk Managers - Missing in Action," November 26, 2007.)

The fiduciary question is of course a big one. Is there a  possibility that a financial institution takes over a pension plan and finds itself in the uncomfortable position of being loyal to plan participants at the expense of shareholders or vice versa? Cynthia Mallett, Vice President, Corporate Benefit Funding, Met Life adds that "Stranger-owned pension plans raise both philosophical and public policy issues, none more telling than the potential for placing plan participants' interests in the hands of unrelated investors who are not regulated in the same fashion as insurers." 

ERISA Attorney Dan Wintz, partner with Fraser Stryker PC, offers the following insight. "While the practice of 'selling' pension plans and transferring their sponsorship to unrelated companies (that is, speculator or investment companies that do not employ the participants covered by the plan) has not yet become widespread, it is heartening to see that the Internal Revenue Service intervened early. However, the Ruling may be overly broad in its application and could prohibit or impede some plan transfers in legitimate re-organizations or other transactions that do not involve the direct transfer of business assets, operations, or employees from the employer to the unrelated taxpayer which will maintain the plan. We will have to see whether this is an absolute prohibition (as appears to be stated in the Ruling) or if it can be applied on a 'facts and circumstances' basis where there is a legitimate business purpose for the arrangement and there are protections for the plan's participants."

A fellow of the Society of Actuaries, David Godofsky, partner with Alston + Bird LLP and leader of the Employee Benefits and Executive Compensation Group, concurs that buyouts may serve a vital function. His comments are provided below.

"As for the meaning, the ruling was rather narrowly tailored to a specific fact pattern, which has been widely discussed and known as "selling" pension plans. Here is a very simplified version of the basic idea:

  • Company X has a frozen pension plan with assets of $100 million and liabilities of $100 million. The liabilities are measured by reference to mortality tables and interest rates that are intended to approximate the cost of buying annuities, or the cost of funding those pension benefits when very safe investments are used. In other words, the assumed rate of return on the $100 million of assets is very low, reflecting investments that are nearly risk free.
  • However, Company Y believes it can invest the assets of the plan to achieve a higher rate of return. If it does so successfully, there will be money left over when all benefits are satisfied... possibly a LOT of money.
  • So Company Y offers to buy the pension plan from Company X. A shell corporation ("ShellCo") is formed as a sub of Company X, and then ShellCo assumes the pension plan from Company X. Company X sells ShellCo to Company Y for $2 million.
  • Company Y has no employees and no other assets. Company Y invests the $100 million in investments designed to beat the low assumed rate of return. The assets grow to $120.
  • Company Y then buys annuities to cover the liability for $100 million, and is left with a pension plan with no liabilities and $20 million. It then finds a company with an underfunded plan - Company Z.
  • Company Z is willing to buy ShellCo for $20 million, and merges the pension plan into its own. So, everyone comes out ahead. X is ahead by $2 million and Y is ahead by $18 million.
  • BUT, suppose that Company Y doesn't do so well. It invests the money aggressively, and the assets drop to $80 million instead of increasing to $120 million. Now, the owner of Company Y is insulated, and the PBGC steps in to cover the $20 million underfunding. X is now ahead by $2 million, Y has lost its $2 million investment. As you can see, if Y invests aggressively enough, it has a great upside and a limited downside. This is what is known as "heads I win, tails you lose."

The IRS ruling focused on whether Company Y has an relationship with the employees - that was the way they chose to get to this transaction. However, what is really going on is whether you can take over pension liabilities from another company and try to make a profit by investing the assets to "beat" the actuarially assumed rate of return. Obviously Company X can do that, but so can Company Y. The difference is that X is a real company with real employees and presumably assets at risk. With Company Y, you don't quite know what you have. There is a way of selling pension liabilities - it is to buy annuities. Insurance companies sell annuities and they have to maintain reserves and invest their assets in a way that avoids losses. Basically, the Company Y's of the world wanted to do the same thing without having to comply with all those pesky insurance regulations.

Bottom line - the transaction that the IRS prohibited has the potential for an increased risk to the PBGC and a corresponding gain to the buyer (reward without risk). Now, the challenge for the investment firms that wanted to do this is to come up with a regulatory approach that has financial protections that are as strong as the insurance regulations."

Editor's Notes: There are numerous articles about the UK buyout experience. A few of them are listed below, along with the link to the July 21, 2008 report about plan freezes, published by the U.S. Government Accountability Office ("GAO").

Expect more news on the topic of pension buyouts and transfers.

This blog welcomes a chance to publish the pension buyer perspective. Send us an email if you want to comment.

Seal of Approval for Hedge Funds

In a recent interview, Mr. Stanley Goldstein announced the creation of an industry watchdog group, led by the New York Hedge Fund Roundtable. Its goal is to self-enforce otherwise voluntary and "weak" hedge fund practices. (As I wrote in "Doris Day, Scarlett O'Hara and Financial Market Tumult," July 19, 2008, a July 17, 2008 Financial Times editorial refers to such guidelines as cosmetic, meant to attract institutional investors and to keep regulators at bay.)

Goldstein, a CPA and founder of several hedge funds, explains that the aim is "not to start a separate organization but to use the existing one to compile and disseminate standards for hedge funds to follow," adding that "We do not see enforcement as practical or desirable but rather, hope that 'industry usage' will evolve along the lines which we, and others like us, deem appropriate."

Goldstein's support of the free market to act as the ultimate enforcer is laudable, especially at a time when global regulators are far from silent about the need for more stringent rules. Will Adam Smith's "invisible hand" really work? Let's hope so. As this blogger as written many times before, regulations no doubt change the way market participants behave, often leading to the "Law of Unintended Consequences."

Goldstein strongly believes in the power of collective self-policing. "By analogy, you will notice that more and more not-for-profit organizations are beginning to create audit committees on their boards and some have adopted "whistle blower" policies. There was no mandate nor promulgation forcing them to do this. What happened? Donors asked questions and boards had no choice but to make sure the right boxes could be checked off or risk losing contributions, the lifeblood of funding. These charities are run by smart people who are taking the hint. They want to be good players. With luck, time and some coordination, we can edge hedge funds in the same direction."

In the absence of a serious industry attempt to do better (for those funds who are not already at the top of their game), new accounting rules (FAS 157 or IAS 39 for example) and/or regulators' admonitions (such as the U.S. Department of Labor's recent letter to a plan sponsor, urging them to do their own valuation homework) could cause institutional investors to shy away from alternative investments such as hedge funds. If true that alternatives might help to diversify a portfolio, then a rejection due to a statutory artifice (versus an economic exigency) would be yet another example of the "Law of Unintended Consequences." (Read "Regulators Tell Pensions to Independently Value Positions," August 9, 2008, to access the aforementioned letter about valuation.)

This blogger says "bravo" and wishes the New York Hedge Fund Roundtable the best of luck. If Pension Governance, LLC can be of assistance, count us in. We agree that volitional "best practice" attempts are almost always far superior to a "one size fits all" authoritative mandate.

Editor's Notes:

  • According to economist Adam Smith in his Wealth of Nations, "Every individual...generally, indeed, neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it. By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry he intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention." Click for more quotes by Adam Smith.
  • According to the Library of Economics and Liberty, the "Law of Unintended Consequences" states that "actions of people - and especially of government - always have effects that are unanticipated or 'unintended.'" The concept is related to Adam Smith's invisible hand theory wherein the famous economist wrote "It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we can expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own self interest."
  • In aftermath of mandates such as FAS 133 (U.S. derivatives accounting standard) or FRS 17 (UK retirement benefit plan accounting standard), experts documented a clear change in the way impacted parties went about their business.
  • Interested readers can download "The Failings of FRS 17 and the Impact of Pensions on the UK Stock Market" by SEI researchers and Laurence Copeland (Cardiff Business School). The assertion is that, several years after its  2001 implementation, "the majority of UK pension schemes have closed to new entrants." In an attempt to promote transparency about retirement plans, the unintended effect is a diminution of aggregate employee benefits.
  • Another interesting publication is "The Impact of FAS 133 on the Risk Management Practices of End Users of Derivatives, "Association of Financial Professionals, September 2002. Researchers conclude that reduced hedging activity is likely due in part to the implementation of what users describe as an "excessive burden" in order to comply.
  • Regulators have called for more rules to govern non-profit boards, leading some to suggest that improvements are part "stick" as well as "carrot." For example, the Pension Protection Act of 2006 mandates enhanced disclosures and distribution limits for non-profits. Read "The Pension Protection Act of 2006 and Nonprofit Reforms" by Eileen Morgan Johnson, Whiteford, Taylor & Preston, LLP, January 2006. Also click to read "Nonprofit Governance In the United States" by Francie Ostrower, The Urban Institute, 2007. Click to access the Appendices to this paper.

UK Pensions in the Red

According to "Red alert for pension plans," The Scotsman reporter Teresa Hunter enlightens readers about mammoth losses for pensions run by some of the UK's biggest 100 companies (August 10, 2008).  Describing the 41 billion pound sterling hit as "the largest downward swing since the dotcom bust six years ago," Hunter shocks by comparing the current status quo to a 12 billion GBP (Great British Pounds) surplus only 12 months ago. A collective infusion of 40 billion GBP and a reduction of "risk by cutting their exposure to the stock market from 59% to 53%" has done little to stem the tide. Recession, additional regulatory mandates, anemic stock market returns, new accounting rules (such as FRS 17 and/or IAS 19) and extended lifespans promise more pain.

Putting things in context, the reported loss is roughly 78 billion U.S. dollars (based on an August 8, 2008 GBP/USD exchange rate as reported by Oanda.com). Some significant takeaways from the 2008 report, published by actuarial firm, Lane Clark & Peacock, are telling:

  • Like the United States experience, many British firms no longer offer traditional benefits to new employees.
  • The pension IOUs for some plan sponsors exceed their respective market capitalization. (British Airways, BT and British Energy Group are examples.)
  • Conflicts of interest arise between shareholders who seek improved pension plan expense managment versus plan participants who want more benefits (or at least do not want benefits to be cut).
  • Trustees take a longer-term perspective than shareholders, often putting them at odds with respect to risk-taking.
  • Accounting reports vary because of company-specific inputs that likewise vary such as discount rate, expected asset portfolio rate of return and longevity assumptions.
  • Some companies do not use derivatives to manage risk, hoping for an improved funding situation in "due course" and/or wanting to avoid negotiating asset allocation with trustees (who have "unilateral control").
  • "Most trustees are not investment experts" and require additional training before making a decision about swaps, pension buyouts and/or change in investment policy.

In the spirit of The World is Flat by Thomas L. Friedman, it is pretty clear that members of the global retirement fiduciary community share most of the same concerns and economic realities. There are few countries that are immune to the panopoly of factors that result in higher costs.

Editor's Notes: